On January 16. 2025, this blog delineated an analysis of a cease-fire and hostage exchange between Israel and Hamas (a Terrorist Organization), scheduled to take effect on Sunday, January 19, 2025. Israel’s War on Terrorism: Lessons From History https://thegreygrater.blogspot.com/2025/01/israels-war-on-terrorism-lessons-from.html
It did not turn out as was planned or well for Israel. Half of the Israeli hostages, both the living and dead, remain in captivity in Gaza. It was widely recognized that the cease-fire was achieved because of ultimatum by Donald J. Trump who would be inaugurated as the 47th president of the United States of America, on January 20, 2025.
Now, Israel and Iran have agreed to a cease-fire following 12 days of intense conflict, with the ceasefire now in effect as of June 24, 2025. The cease-fire was brokered by US President Trump, which was initiated at the request of Iran, and its diplomatic proxies, and begrudgingly accepted by Israel.
However, reported today (June 26,2025) in The Times of Israel and other publications through out the world: “Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei claimed US President Donald Trump had “exaggerated” the impact of strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, while threatening to repeat the “slap” his country had dealt American forces in the region, speaking in a televised address Thursday (June 26, 2025).” Khamenei “also hailed his country’s “victory” in the 12-day air war launched by Israel, which he claimed had “almost collapsed” because of Iran’s strikes.” Furthermore, he said. “Surrender will never happen. Our nation is powerful.” Khamenei told viewers that the US had only intervened in the war because “it felt that if it did not intervene, the Zionist regime would be utterly destroyed.”
Well, there you have it President Trump.
It is usually others who never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity! Like the Hamas cease-fire in January, the Iran cease-fire in June will not bring change to the middle-east so desperately needed and hopefully sought. Yes, Iran’s nuclear capability has been diminished. However, its raison d'être has not been “obliterated”!
The lessons of history clearly predict that this settlement will result in further bloodshed and negate the sacrifices already made by Israel’s soldiers and civilian population, and US interests.
Like in Gaza, John David Lewis’s book, Nothing Less Than Victory: Decisive Wars And The Lessons of History (Princeton University Press, 2010), is instructive. Professor Lewis imparts this important lesson:
“that the fact of defeat ... led to lasting peace only when the fact of defeat was openly recognized and the legitimacy of the victor’s terms was accepted by the vanquished."
It should be clear, Iran and its proxies believe they have not been vanquished, have not been defeated, and that the Regime lives on to fight another day. And fight they will.
No comments:
Post a Comment